Signal Band

Cyber capability forecast

Cyber Future

  • Built · Power BI
  • Now · 90D · 1Y · 3Y
  • Public threat data
  • 4 pages shown
“How much people, process and technology capability do we need to stay within risk appetite in 90 days, 1 year and 3 years?”
Cyber Risk Futures page of the Cyber Future dashboard dashboard
Page 01 · Cyber Risk Futures Illustrative sample data
4 report pages · hover to hold, select a frame to view it

What it shows

  • A Capability Growth Index projecting the multiplier each pillar needs against a target baseline.
  • A threat sprawl index built from public vulnerability data (CISA KEV, NVD, CVSS).
  • Driver contribution: which assumptions move the forecast most, with their ranges.
  • AI and technology sprawl velocity, quarter on quarter.

Outcomes

  • Turns "we need more budget" into a quantified, time-bound capability gap.
  • Shows which pillar breaches tolerance first.
  • Gives an investment conversation a defensible basis.

Built for: Executives and boards building a multi-year cyber investment case, and risk and strategy teams.

Product specification

Four report pages: Cyber Risk Futures, Target Capability Growth, Driver Contribution Deep-Dive, and AI & Technology Sprawl Velocity.

The threat curve is sigmoid-fitted to public vulnerability data. Each driver carries a minimum, most likely and maximum value, and a 5,000-run PERT Monte Carlo turns them into ranges for People, Process and Technology at each horizon, with P50 planning and P90 stress views. Every driver and assumption is documented in a methodology companion.

Pages
4
Horizons
Now · 90D · 1Y · 3Y
Simulation
5,000-run PERT Monte Carlo
Format
Power BI (PBIP)

How it's delivered: days, not months

  1. ScopeA short call to agree the decision it needs to support and which data you already have.
  2. LoadYour exports go into the model's CSV templates. No live connection to your systems is needed to start.
  3. RunThe model runs on your data, and every number traces back to its inputs and the documented method.
  4. Hand overYou keep the Power BI file, its design walkthrough and engineering companion, or our practitioners run it with you each month.

See Cyber Future running on your own data.

Book a walkthrough How we work

More in Futures

AI Future How fast AI adoption and AI-related threats are growing against the governance you have. IT Future: Tech Debt The monthly cost of technical debt, a priority register, and what a given budget pays back. IT Future: Workforce & Capability Capacity against demand, key-person risk and the skills gap, with the cost of closing it.